NFL Power Rankings Week 16

Here are the numbers:

Falcons, 12, 31, 0.1334390210307792, 32
Jags, 31, 26, 0.15140477278869113, 31
Cowboys, 14, 29, 0.29147424627998586, 30
Bucs, 32, 11, 0.30750649236354, 29
Dolphins, 26, 17, 0.35509379631812965, 28
Colts, 17, 27, 0.36584160553688705, 27
Bears, 5, 32, 0.36876858888173747, 26
Ravens, 30, 9, 0.3754446324581795, 25
Texans, 25, 16, 0.3801947396870673, 24
Rams, 23, 22, 0.4046834612253497, 23
Chiefs, 22, 20, 0.41145878166580796, 22
Raiders, 19, 23, 0.4163870440437285, 21
Redskins, 21, 21, 0.4214965188683585, 20
Vikings, 18, 24, 0.43123480877664233, 19
Bills, 28, 8, 0.43968584908812025, 18
Pats, 11, 25, 0.4419916241086006, 17
Jets, 24, 10, 0.46792503725051016, 16
Titans, 20, 13, 0.4844203356369665, 15
Steelers, 15, 18, 0.49801577605291825, 14
Browns, 27, 6, 0.5083336152297773, 13
Pack, 6, 28, 0.5501259799423028, 12
Giants, 29, 3, 0.5972064526136713, 11
Chargers, 3, 30, 0.6010593084327267, 10
Panthers, 16, 7, 0.6313047947783862, 9
Lions, 7, 19, 0.6583647443976135, 8
Saints, 8, 14, 0.693117871310926, 7
Bengals, 10, 5, 0.7637636581739935, 6
Cardinals, 13, 1, 0.8048230410722862, 5
Niners, 9, 4, 0.8051773714631008, 4
Broncos, 2, 15, 0.9667575885579349, 3
Eagles, 1, 12, 1.0403685564872065, 2
Hawks, 4, 2, 1.1003484944329718, 1

And the rankings. This week I'm going to add back in all the teams that have not been mathematically eliminated.

1. Seattle Seahawks

This loss was a bad one, but they keep the number one spot by virtue of the rest of their season.

2. Philadelphia Eagles (Probable)

Well, that's what you get when an unstoppable force meets the opposite of an immovable object. 300 yards rushing (almost), 200 yards passing, and 54 points. They're closing on the top spot. With a big win against the Romo-less Cowboys they could get there.

3. Denver Broncos

Another game that's kept close and then just blown wide open in the 4th quarter. The loss of Von Miller is going to hurt, though.

4. San Francisco 49ers

They were so close to blowing it against the NFL's (new) worst team, and I'd say they got really lucky with the pick six at the end, but they were pretty damn unlucky to be in that situation in the first place. They could still get a first round bye with a win and a Seattle loss.

5. Arizona Cardinals (Doubtful)

That was a huge win Sunday, one of the most impressive by any team all season. That defense is getting some recognition, but not the recognition it's due. At this point, they're historically good. The offense and the playoff chances, not so much. They still need a win vs. the 49ers and the Saints to blow it against a bad Bucs team.

6. Cincinnati Bengals

Huge win after the mess last week. They put themselves in the playoffs, winning the division and possibly setting themselves up for a first round bye (if they win and the Pats lose). As I've said before, this is the team to watch out for. This is the Broncos' biggest competition by far.

7. Saints

This team could still miss the playoffs (if and only if the Cardinals make it), but they seem to be very likely set for a wild card. That loss vs. the Panthers (and the Rams before it) was a huge blow.

8. Detroit Lions (Out)

They completely blew what seemed like a sure thing 3 weeks ago. And now they're done. They don't need to even bother with their last game. They have no chance.

9. Carolina Panthers

They've pretty much secured a bye, and they could even get the 1-seed if they win and the 49ers win the NFC West. They're not as good as they're made out to be, but with home field advantage, they can at least make the second round. And maybe even beat Aaron Rodgers, Nick Foles, or Russell Wilson if they're really lucky. Or get lucky before that and get to play anyone else.

10. San Diego Chargers (Doubtful)

They were out last week, but everything broke right for them! Now they're still not eliminated, and with a Baltimore loss at Cincy (very likely) and a Dolphins loss against the Jets (coin flip, maybe slightly in the Dolphins' favor. maybe), they only need to beat the backups of an already bad Chiefs team. It's not so bad anymore.

12. Green Bay Packers (Questionable)

They didn't play so well, but it didn't matter. They get to play a horrible Bears defense (especially vs. the run) for a playoff spot (4-seed). They probably don't even need Aaron Rodgers, though they might get him back anyway.

14. Pittsburgh Steelers (Out)

They have very very little chance, but since they're not mathematically eliminated, I should put them back. They did their job vs. the Packers, and now they need the Chargers' scenario to unfold, except with a Chargers loss and a win for them against the Browns (which won't be that easy).

17. New England Patriots

That was a pretty big blowout for a bad performance by a bad team. They lucked into 4 (really 7 if you count downs) turnovers by an even worse team, so they weren't really all that good even. They're lucky their second round matchup is going to be against the Chiefs.

22. Kansas City Chiefs

Hey, we were just talking about them! And what do you know, they're all the way up here, the highest they've been in a long time. Jamaal Charles still ran for 106 yards on just 13 carries. The problem was that they lost 3 fumbles, which is just bad luck. They aren't good by any means, but neither are the Colts.

25. Baltimore Ravens (Doubtful)

It wasn't good by any means, but as I've discussed before, it wasn't as bad as a 34 point loss to the 17th best team in the league usually is, or even close. They still control their own destiny.

26. Chicago Bears (Questionable)

This is getting to be as bad as the Saints last year. They can't stop anyone. I mean, it's hard to stop the best offense in football, but it shouldn't be THAT bad. Or even close. I don't like their chances at home against Matt Flynn. Their receivers are good, though.

27. Indianapolis Colts

Yet another awful team doing well. It's kind of sad, really, that all the teams ranked 25-28 (and 30) are more in the playoff hunt than the 5th best team in the league.

28. Miami Dolphins (Questionable)

It's worse. That was the most pathetic offensive performance I've seen all year. And I saw the Giants last week. It wasn't close. They had 103 yards of offense. 103. Against the Bills. They still have the best chance to get the 6-seed, but they have to play a lot better against the Jets. Or hope their defense can score the points for them.

30. Dallas Cowboys (Doubtful)

It's already tough playing the second best team in the NFL. It's even worse when you're the 3rd worst team. But when one player is pretty much the only reason why you win games, and that player doesn't play, you're fucked. Still have a better shot that Arizona though, unfortunately.